Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 13.384394 15.200208 17.121606 19.301038 21.699252 24.252450 27.170820
2025-02-09 10.909174 13.439094 16.288045 19.713381 23.698349 28.166272 33.531619
2025-02-16 8.779978 11.679827 15.139881 19.525076 24.883425 31.164998 39.028497
2025-02-23 7.017545 10.058801 13.894144 19.000010 25.524507 33.483495 43.816251
2025-03-02 5.736572 8.831236 12.942930 18.670181 26.289814 35.917309 48.818109
2025-03-09 4.847064 7.978984 12.345916 18.683168 27.421681 38.807061 54.484641
2025-03-16 4.056648 7.137913 11.642393 18.441807 28.139834 41.141066 59.496695
2025-03-23 3.702519 6.891373 11.740449 19.299505 30.378233 45.570803 67.445395
2025-03-30 3.246197 6.410410 11.423305 19.499418 31.665144 48.729455 73.779720
2025-04-06 2.688598 5.671554 10.615283 18.868711 31.670200 50.058192 77.602121
2025-04-13 2.200386 4.970561 9.778227 18.096509 31.376607 50.899824 80.720421
2025-04-20 2.030459 4.827133 9.848433 18.764355 33.295756 55.012367 88.640786
2025-04-27 2.012521 4.985481 10.469791 20.408612 36.870376 61.786678 100.778644
2025-05-04 1.886456 4.908276 10.663830 21.345647 39.370948 67.055050 110.902777
2025-05-11 1.663842 4.592843 10.388093 21.448770 40.522101 70.312807 118.151456
2025-05-18 1.414169 4.171764 9.862835 21.061197 40.827926 72.261064 123.479266
2025-05-25 1.214395 3.824876 9.437552 20.808564 41.327353 74.509274 129.315033
2025-06-01 1.073063 3.589920 9.206393 20.886109 42.377127 77.647526 136.595482
2025-06-08 0.924389 3.304573 8.834511 20.659456 42.870747 79.890789 142.529269
2025-06-15 0.884055 3.301732 9.068242 21.622355 45.515222 85.729570 154.302677
2025-06-22 0.794889 3.144029 8.941079 21.855420 46.848061 89.436961 162.771352
2025-06-29 0.658962 2.816075 8.385391 21.171758 46.458227 90.238359 166.570123
2025-07-06 0.534903 2.488056 7.781810 20.328651 45.708675 90.379837 169.270481